Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 1268.631080 1439.714644 1629.116034 1854.995362 2117.881697 2415.178256 2778.243223
2025-10-12 1013.937415 1242.990277 1520.337090 1883.689174 2351.277934 2938.328920 3739.942191
2025-10-19 865.014850 1116.998412 1441.300092 1894.881844 2521.847954 3371.251907 4632.159674
2025-10-26 761.500625 1024.361114 1379.423571 1902.901323 2670.135979 3777.714283 5543.148224
2025-11-02 697.471482 972.084691 1359.018556 1956.720374 2880.035188 4292.359481 6697.364255
2025-11-09 642.341990 923.254508 1333.946343 1995.071760 3065.627473 4791.612357 7915.914563
2025-11-16 593.983348 877.401822 1305.627415 2021.106907 3230.537463 5277.497752 9201.496565
2025-11-23 552.554784 836.687993 1279.071294 2043.947598 3389.576771 5773.604586 10601.088806
2025-11-30 520.286111 806.362240 1264.549809 2082.973066 3579.137432 6350.282083 12273.005393
2025-12-07 473.933385 748.504975 1198.512492 2024.096635 3582.081323 6576.991830 13277.813260
2025-12-14 433.373158 696.364994 1136.612322 1964.510077 3573.840724 6777.541408 14264.838632
2025-12-21 395.788493 645.934967 1072.761094 1893.666719 3533.284309 6904.384026 15110.155508
2025-12-28 383.175547 637.958248 1083.538732 1965.880959 3791.856743 7709.617866 17779.326095
2026-01-04 365.309876 619.196015 1073.164397 1996.212424 3969.425793 8373.188092 20284.061618
2026-01-11 346.702649 597.386277 1054.875009 2008.174709 4108.791631 8974.384901 22791.576099
2026-01-18 329.413908 576.475197 1036.169641 2016.751184 4241.408350 9583.536876 25498.279814
2026-01-25 319.317652 568.100655 1040.657057 2074.319076 4494.520316 10539.594556 29528.445124
2026-02-01 308.092527 556.586632 1037.760295 2115.352143 4714.688207 11455.631908 33743.406940
2026-02-08 296.325622 543.037827 1029.446783 2143.212557 4906.860569 12336.485064 38153.990669
2026-02-15 285.087763 529.630363 1020.160702 2167.657708 5094.251582 13244.138563 42997.234683
2026-02-22 276.212960 520.261430 1018.427104 2209.431276 5333.614138 14356.469523 49043.749298
2026-03-01 258.871791 492.353773 974.867106 2146.412135 5281.881612 14577.841474 51685.443219
2026-03-08 242.808931 466.038360 932.759867 2082.652781 5219.502132 14755.815238 54232.505928